BEYOND OIL
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Right under our noses a new industry with 140 new companies is emerging that will be a game changer in the American economy. Transportation is going driverless and highways will be electrified with a market potential in excess of $1 Trillion dollars. Today  America can’t even afford to expand or replace its existing infrastructure. It is aged, worn, congested, fragile and yet is the backbone of the American economy. However, we built it on cheap oil and that is changing fast.

Demand for mobility is growing at twice the rate of population growth causing cities and suburbs to become more crowded. The growing congestion is creating a new demand for solutions to relieve and expand our infrastructure as gridlock sets in. In the next 25 years population is expected to grow by 50 million people creating the need for expanding highways and airports. There are 161,000 miles in the National Highway System of which 47,000 are Interstate freeways. We should be replacing 25% or approximately 40,000 miles (averaging 3 lanes) of freeways and highways every 10 years. This is about 750,000 lane miles at $2 per mile per lane mile equaling $1.5 Trillion over 10 years or $150 Billion per year for maintenance. Unfortunately the United States Budget only provides $115 Billion per year and half of this goes to other uses such as light rail, buses, etc. This is a cause of the deficiency in our road maintenance. Experts are warning that this deficiency has now grown to several Trillion dollars

It will be cheaper to build on top the existing multi trillion dollar network with smarter computerized and electrified technologies in time to take us beyond oil. And these new 3 to 6 passenger technologies generate revenues that can finance them.  By starting now we can plan and gradually construct what we want, instead of having oil control us and force us to change our ways without any preparation. Hundreds of new and a few older companies are preparing to compete for a share of this trillion dollar upgrade market with local circulators now and then Interstate routes soon. The industry is getting traction now with 12 cities starting studies and Colorado is already seeking proposals for a $3 billion system on I-70 mountain corridor What is needed next are $5 to $6 million sales models of ¼ mile. Only a few companies have them.

Profits on these systems are thought to be in the 10% to 15% range because of the lack of drivers (labor) and fuel. Margins for construction are expected to be 15%. Small systems for malls, resorts, universities, hospitals, airports, office parks and venues will be $50 to $100 million and Interstate systems will be in the Billions of dollars. But that is just the beginning as these systems are economic generators for the real estate around stations stops (the big money marker) and then there is cargo and trash hauling in the after-hours, advertising, naming rights, travel reservations and web sites. See our entry at: www.smartskyways.com and call Lloyd (303) 598-2379

 

OVER 140 EXAMPLES OF AUTOMATED TRANSPORTATION

 

Click on the picture above to see over 140 web sites from large and small start-up companies that are poised to offer automated guideways technologies and to promote   routes that would interface into a national network similar to the interconnectedness seen with the Internet.

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Greening of America Economic Model

 


          Such a Visualization will start with a new national ground transportation system similar in size to the Interstate Hwy System as

          shown below. This model will show a 50,000 mile   all weather, automated electrified roadway/guideway network integrated

          with a smart grid of power generation and thousands of new pedestrian villages along the routes. At $20 million per mile this

          will amount to about $1 Trillion for Transport and another $1 Trillion integrating a smart grid. This will stimulate the economy,

         give  each state the authority to design and sell Green Bonds based on tax incentives  America needs a new economic  model 

          for the movement of goods and people that also generates new jobs building it. Mobility is the heart of our economy and the

          lifeblood of every community in which we live, work and invest. Current population forecasts for the USA include a population

          growth by 2050  over 100 million and approximately 95 million more motor vehicles. The next generations of surface transport

         and clean energy generation can be integrated by the internet for greater operating efficiency. This promises to increase our

          economic vitality. The US Chamber of  commerce estimates that every $1 billion invested in transit, creates 47,000 jobs. More

          important is that we need to prepare a transition from an oil-based economy to  something renewable, affordable and 

          clean. Can America survive $10 per gallon gasoline? Estimates range from $20 trillion to $100 trillion worldwide to replace 

           our creaking oil based economys with a variety of renewable energy technologies.

 

 

 

  If we could attract a trillion dollars to a new industry that funds a national AGT system equal in size to the Interstate Highways System of 50,000 miles, here is the ripple effect:. 

Causing a  $3 trillion construction boom developing pedestrian villages at station stops and creating an array of public benefits over the next few decades. If one third of the AGT constructed has two stations per mile, as many as 30,000 pedestrian villages would result. If each one averaged 1000 condominiums and a supporting mix of commercial services, then 30 to 50 million people could live work, play and shop without the need for owning a car. They could use buses, taxis, trolleys and car rentals to go off-line into other areas. Such systems will also attract a sizable commuter ridership and more revenues from outside people working and visiting in these villages. AGT can link activity centers such as hospitals, malls, resorts, campuses, airports and office parks. AGT and its pedestrian villages can require clean energy usage. The new labor and property tax bases generated will add hundreds of billions of dollars per year to both federal and state coffers from the trillions of dollars in additional investments for real estate at the stations. and the right to convert in ownership at maturity. Or Use  tax credits that give investors their money back within a few years in the form of tax credits and then tax free earnings for 20 years. Anyone using this last program would have to give ownership to government at maturity.

 
 

CAN YOUR BUSINESS SURVIVE $10 PER GALLON GAS? 

The International Energy Agency says, ''The world has never faced a problem like this. The problem will be pervasive and will not be temporary. Oil peaking will be abrupt and revolutionary. It will become a huge disruption to the economy and requires massive mitigation more than a decade before new technologies can have impact”.  Hurricane Katrina was the wake up call and every city needs to have a plan for the economic shock that will result from Oil Peaking. If we go back to sleep and business proceeds as usual, we may wake up into a new economic condition for which we are not prepared as the price of gas inevitably goes higher. We may see gas gouging, rationing and driving restrictions within the coming decade that cause economic disruption greater than that seen during the 1930’s depression. The experts state that it will happen, although no one knows when. But if we cannot predict when,  we can certainly prepare.

                                                                POWER THE ECONOMY          

The $13 trillion American economy relies on a worn and under maintained transportation infrastructure that is approaching gridlock. It needs a new way of growing to meet the future demand of increasing population. Each AGT dollar is expected to generate $5 or more in development projects at stations. Transportation investment has historically generated multiplier investment in adjacent real estate property. With our existing transportation systems all over-loaded, an elevated transportation network is needed for continued growth.  Automated Guideway Transport (AGT) offers the triple potential to unclog existing systems, earn profits and generate new growth of pedestrian villages around stations. Real estate investment multipliers range from four to ten times transit investment.  Therefore each $1 billion invested in AGT will generate $5 billion in pedestrian villages along that route. At each station, an 850' walking radius contains over 2 million square feet of land area. (Graphic) Zoning regulations allowing 5 to 1 densities would grow small mixed use  pedestrian villages that attract a driverless population. Mixed use development around many stations could grow into the hundreds of billions of dollars in new tax base.  For each AGT route, thousands of development jobs will be created in both transport and real estate. These could grow into millions of jobs as the routes densify and interconnect and offer more coverage through out the states

 

 

 

 
 

WHAT WILL A TRILLION DOLLAR MARKET BUY?

 AGT  will cost, on average, about $15 to 20 million per mile, funding about 50,000 miles over 20 years - about the size of  the interstate highway system. If it  earns more than other public investments, there is plenty of private money to fuel a trillion dollar AGT Industry,  For example, the Internet showed how quickly a trillion in capital formation can occur for national infrastructure. The Internet attracted  over $2 trillion in capital in less than ten years. Today there is over $2.5 trillion in money markets saving accounts earning less than 3% and waiting for better investment climate. The stock market has $8.5 trillion. The Iraqi war is said to cost over $1 Trillion so far. Over the next ten years, America's GNP is expected to exceed $150 trillion cumulatively and yet is dependant on an aging and overloaded transportation network.  We are proposing that AGT  is capable of attracting  capital for any route that can offer a 10%  long term return. Transportation, being America's forth largest industry and accounting for 11% of the Gross National Product ( now exceeding $14 trillion) is primed for automation and possesses conditions that are ripe for explosive growth.

AGT INDUSTRY FORMATION FACTORS

   - Emergence of new companies collectively interfacing 
  
- Variety of technologies that can be integrated in many configurations
  
- Private sector financing with better returns than the existing methodologies
  
- Increased consumer efficiency
  
- Increased economic development in other related industries
  
- Minimum governmental involvement   
  
- Clean Industry is the future

MULTIPLE PUBLIC BENEFITS

Rarely can one idea do so much and with  as many spin offs, as a national AGT network could do.

Here are number of foreseeable public benefits that could result:

   - Replace percentage of automobile demand
  
- Reduce foreign oil dependence
  
- Introduce higher fuel economy on a national scale
  
- Reduce pollution   and global warming
   - Investment multiplier of 5 to 1 in new  pedestrian development around stations 
  
- This new "pedestrian village" growth would generates huge tax revenues
  
- Link airports, metro areas, highways, light rail and other transport systems
  
- Reduce highway congestion
  
- Reduce airport gridlock
  
- Stimulate the travel industry
  
- Replace government transit funding so it can be used elsewhere
  
- Everyone can participate 
_- Spread of Clean Energy Generation

MULTIPLE DEVELOPMENT CONSORTIA

This infrastructure can set the conditions for thousands of companies to grow new profits  by incorporating new innovative automation, information and robotic technologies  in tomorrow's economy of innovation. In every state, various industries will be required to organize, fund, build and operate a variety of AGT transport routes and technologies.  Below is a list of the main industries that would be stimulated by tens thousands of jobs to build a countrywide AGT network:  

Propulsion Systems  Credit Cards processing Voter Campaigns
Travel Reservations  Cargo Integration Vehicle Assembly
Automation System Station Development Underwriting Docs
Power Distribution                Raw Concrete & Steel Money Management
Guideway Fabrication Seat Laptop Advertising     Station Car Rentals
Economic Feasibility   Construction Management   Energy 

                                                                                                                                                        

 

 

 

 

 

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YOU CAN ALSO PARTICIPATE
 
We promote collective creativity as the key to our shared American future. Tomorrow starts today. You can respond to these ideas by selecting one of these choices below.  If you own businesses that could provide any of these products or services, open a dialog with us  and join our development consortia that builds our demo model. 

  • View our web site to inspect our technology and economic feasibility for your town
  • Register for our Newsletter a free monthly email to keep up in this industry
  • Become an "Interactive Member" by joining our feedback group to shape consensus 

The SmartSkyways Team
info@smartskyways

Lloyd Goff
President
SmartSkyways, Inc
303-598-2379
lloydgoff@hotmail.com